Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2023
    On Solutions Of Random Partial Differential Equations With Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method

    Merdan, Mehmet; Atasoy, Nihal

    In this study, random partial differential equations obtained by randomly choosing the coefficients or initial conditions of partial differential equations will be analyzed. With the help of Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method and Homotopy Analysis Method, approximate analytical solutions of random partial differential equations were obtained. Initial conditions and parameters are made into random variables with normal distribution and gamma distribution. Probability characteristics such as expected value, variance and confidence intervals of the obtained random partial differential equation are calculated. Obtained results will be plotted with the help of MATLAB (2013a), package program and random results will be interpreted.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2023
    Wong-Zakai approximation for stochastic models of smoking

    Şengül, Süleyman; Beki̇Ryazici, Zafer; Merdan, Mehmet

    In this study, Wong-Zakai approximation method has been used to obtain approximate solutions for two compartmental models of smoking dynamics. Stratonovich stochastic differential equation systems are obtained for these two stochastic models for the application of Wong-Zakai method. Wong-Zakai method is used together with the predictor-corrector deterministic approximation method where Adams-Bashforth method is used as the predictor pair and Adams-Moulton method is used as the corrector pair. Stochastic Runge-Kutta IV, Euler-Maruyama and stochastic Runge-Kutta strong order 1.0 schemes are also used to investigate the models and the results are compared to the results from Wong-Zakai approximation. The comparison shows that Wong-Zakai method is a reliable tool for the analysis of stochastic models and can be considered as an alternative investigation method for modeling studies. Solution graphs, error graphs and numerical results have been given as evidence to show that Wong-Zakai method can also be a reliable method for analyzing various models. An alternate technique for parallelizing the algorithm has also been given to decrease CPU times for Wong-Zakai method. This technique is suggested to overcome the extra calculation load that comes with Wong-Zakai method.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2023
    On the solutions of fractional random ordinary differential equations with the Residual power series method

    Merdan, Mehmet; Atasoy, Nihal

    In this study, random ordinary differential equations obtained by randomly choosing the coefficients or initial conditions of the ordinary differential equations will be analyzed by the Residual Power Series Method. The initial conditions or coefficients of the equations will be converted to random variables with Normal, Gamma and exponential distribution. Probability characteristics such as expected value, variance and confidence interval of the obtained random ordinary differential equations will be calculated. Obtained results will be drawn with the help of MATLAB (2013a) package program and random results will be interpreted.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2023
    On the solution of random linear difference equations with Laplace transform method

    Şişman, Şeyma; Merdan, Mehmet

    In this study, Laplace transformation, which is very important for solutions to initial value problems, is examined. To solve the initial value problem of a discrete-time equation, Laplace implements the conversion method. Here, Laplace transformation is used to obtain an approach to the solutions of random difference equations formed by randomizing components of deterministic difference equations. For random behavior of linear difference equations under random effects, uniform, geometric, binomial, Poisson, and Bernouilli distributions are used, and approximate expected value, variance, standard deviation, and confidence interval of equations obtained by Laplace transformation are calculated. The results were obtained through the Maple package program.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2023
    Investigation of Behavior on Solutions of Lane-Emden Complex Differential Equations by a Random Differential Transformation Method

    Merdan, Mehmet; Merdan, Merve; Şahin, Ridvan

    In this study, Lane-Emden complex differential equations have been randomized by selecting random variables for the coefficients, initial conditions, and force functions of complex differential equations. In addition, by finding the solutions of the obtained random complex differential equations, the probability characteristics of the solutions are examined. The random version of the differential transformation method (DTM) is used to obtain an analytical solution close to the solution of the random differential equation. Approximate expected values and variances are calculated using the approximate solution method. The solutions of some random complex differential equations obtained by using random probability characteristics with gamma, normal, and beta distributions were obtained by the DTM method. The probability characteristics obtained are shown graphically with the help of the MAPLE program.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2022
    A Mathematical Model of Susceptible Diabetes Complication (SDC) Model in Discrete Time Fuzzy and Crisp Environment

    Merdan, Mehmet; Şişman, Şeyma

    In this study, we examined the mathematical model of the discrete-time equation system with susceptible diabetes complication (SDC), which is known to be caused by environmental and genetic factors in a fuzzy environment. From the diabetes complication (DC) model, the susceptible diabetes complication (SDC) model is being developed. It was obtained using definitions of how the behavior of this model changes in a fuzzy environment. A nonlinear differential equation system transforms the sensitive diabetes complication (SDC) model into a discrete time equation system. Stability analysis of the model with jury criterion was examined. In addition, numerical solutions and graphics of the analysis of the discrete model in fuzzy environment are obtained by using the MATLAB package program.

    • SDG 3 · Sağlık ve Kaliteli Yaşam
  • MakaleAçık Erişim2022
    A MODIFICATION OF APPROXIMATE RANDOM CHARACTERISTICS FOR A MODEL OF ZIKA VIRUS TRANSMISSION

    Bekiryazici, Zafer; Kesemen, Tulay; Merdan, Mehmet; Khaniyev, Tahir

    In this study, a theoretical model of Zika virus transmission is investigated with random parameters. The parameters of a deterministic model are transformed to random variables to obtain a system of random differential equations. The approximate solutions of the model are analyzed with modified random differential transformation method. It is seen that modified random differential transformation method performs better than random differential transformation method on long time intervals

    • SDG 3 · Sağlık ve Kaliteli Yaşam
  • MakaleYalnız künye2022
    DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF THE CONFORMABLE FRACTIONAL ORDER HOST-PARASITE MODEL

    Şişman, Şeyma; Merdan, Mehmet

    In this study, the differential equation system with a mathematical model of parasites is examined in cases where infection does not depend on transmission and defense, but on the level of infectivity and defense of the parasite and host. When discretization is applied to the differential equation, a two-dimensional discrete system is obtained in the range of t ∈ [n, n + 1] then the stability of the Neimark-Sacker bifurcation of the positive equilibrium point of this discrete system is investigated. Finally, MAPLE and MATLAB package program are used to show the accuracy of the results obtained.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2022
    Homotopy Perturbation Elzaki Transform Method for Obtaining the Approximate Solutions of the Random Partial Differential Equations

    Anac, Halil; Merdan, Mehmet; Kesemen, Tulay

    The series solutions of the random nonlinear partial differential equations have been examined by a hybrid method. The random nonlinear partial differential equations are studied by both normal and uniform distributions. Two initial-value problems are indicated to exemplify the influence of the solutions acquired by the hybrid method. Also, the functions for the first and second moments of the approximate solutions of random nonlinear partial differential equations are acquired in the MAPLE software. The hybrid method is implemented to analyze the solutions of the random nonlinear partial differential equations. MAPLE software is used to find the solutions. Besides, MAPLE software is used for the drawing the figures.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2022
    Transmission of Cholera Disease with Laplacian and Triangular Parameters

    Merdan, Mehmet; Bekiryazici, Zafer; Kesemen, Tulay; Khaniyev, Tahir

    A mathematical model has been introduced for the transmission dynamics of cholera disease by GQ Sun et al. recently. In this study, we add Laplacian and Triangular random effects to this model and analyze the variation of results for both cases. The expectations and co-efficients of variation are compared for the random models and the results are used to comment on the differences and similarities between the effects of these probability distributions. The randomness of the model itself is also investigated through comparison of the random and deterministic outcomes.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2021
    Global stability of Susceptible Diabetes Complication (SDC) model in discrete time

    Şi̇Şman, Şeyma; Merdan, Mehmet

    In this study, the mathematical model (DC) of diabetes disease is discussed. This model divides people into (D) uncomplicated and (C) complex diabetics two. In addition, diabetes is a disease known to be caused by genetic and environmental factors, and this factor is one of the main causes of genetic disorder at birth. Considering these two factors, the diabetes complication (SDC) model, which is sensitive from the diabetes complication (DC) model, is being developed. In this model, the responsive diabetes complication (SDC) model of a nonlinear system of differential equations is transformed into a discrete-time system of equations. The positivity and limitation of Model solutions were examined R0 the basic increment number is calculated. If R0 < 1, it has a global asymptotically stable balance for the situation where there is no genetic disorder at birth, and for R0 < 1, the system has an unstable balance. In addition, random behavior of the discrete model was examined for different probability distributions.

    • SDG 3 · Sağlık ve Kaliteli Yaşam
  • MakaleAçık Erişim2021
    Wong-Zakai Method for Stochastic Differential Equations in Engineering

    Sengul, Suleyman; Bekiryazici, Zafer; Merdan, Mehmet

    In this paper, Wong-Zakai approximation methods are presented for some stochastic differential equations in engineering sciences. Wong-Zakai approximate solutions of the equations are analyzed and the numerical results are compared with results from popular approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations such as Euler-Maruyama and Milstein methods. Several differential equations from engineering problems containing stochastic noise are investigated as numerical examples. Results show that Wong-Zakai method is a reliable tool for studying stochastic differential equations and can be used as an alternative for the known approximation techniques for stochastic models.

  • MakaleYalnız künye2021
    Modification of the random differential transformation method and its applications to compartmental models

    Bekiryazici, Zafer; Merdan, Mehmet; Kesemen, Tulay

    In this study, a modification of the random differential transformation method is given by using Laplace-Padé method. The modification, which has previously been introduced for the deterministic differential transformation method (DTM), is used to obtain improved approximate expected values, variances, and confidence intervals for systems of random differential equations. Comparison of approximate results obtained from the random differential transformation method and the modified method are given to underline the improvement of the approximations. Epidemiological compartmental models of type SIR and SIIR are used to implement the modified method and demonstrate its advantages. Simulations and deterministic counterparts of the models are also investigated to confirm the suitability of the results of the approximations.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2020
    Analysis of The Dynamics of The Classical Epidemic Model with Beta Distributed Random Components

    Merdan, Mehmet; Bekiryazıcı, Zafer; Kesemen, Tülay

    In this study, the classical epidemic model of Kermack and McKendrick is analyzed with beta distributed random components. A random analysis is done for the deterministic epidemic model by transforming the parameters and initial values of the system to random variables with beta distribution. The approximations for the expectations of the model variables are compared with the deterministic results to comment on the randomness of the cases with random parameters and random initial values. Results for some numerical characteristics of these two cases are also given to investigate the accuracy of the approximations for the expected values.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2020
    Volterra İntegral Denklemlerinin Rastgele Etkilerle Davranışlarının İncelenmesi

    Merdan, Mehmet; Altay, Özge; Bekiryazıcı, Zafer

    Bu çalışmada deterministik Volterra integral denklemlerinin bileşenlerinin rastgele değişkenlere dönüştürülmesi ile elde edilen rastgele Volterra integral denklemleri incelenmektedir. Volterra integral denklemlerinin rastgele etkiler altındaki rastgele davranışlarını incelemek için Beta, Normal, Gamma, Geometrik ve Düzgün dağılımlar kullanılmaktadır. Rastgele Volterra integral denkleminin çözümüne bir yaklaşım elde etmek için Diferansiyel Dönüşüm Yöntemi’nin rastgele versiyonu (RDTM) kullanılmaktadır. Yaklaşık çözüm kullanılarak yaklaşık beklenen değerler ve yaklaşık varyanslar hesaplanmaktadır. Bahsedilen dağılımlara sahip rastgele bileşenler kullanılarak elde edilen bazı integro-diferansiyel denklemler sayısal örnek olarak kullanılmaktadır. Sonuçlar MAPLE’da elde edilmiş ve grafiklerle gösterilmiştir. Rastgele Diferansiyel Dönüşüm Yöntemi’nin rastgele Volterra İntegral Denklemleri’nin incelenmesinde etkili bir araç olduğu görülmektedir. Yöntemin doğruluğunu göstermek için sonuçların karşılaştırmalarına yer verilmiştir.

  • MakaleYalnız künye2020
    APPLICATION OF CRANK-NICOLSON METHOD TO A RANDOM COMPONENT HEAT EQUATION

    Anaç, Halil; Merdan, Mehmet; Kesemen, Tülay

    In this study, the solution of a random component heat equation is obtained by using Crank-Nicolson Method. The initial condition of this equation is examined by Normal distribution. The expected value and variance of solution of this equation are obtained. Crank-Nicolson method is applied to analyze the solution of this equation. Also, the solution and the graphs of the expected value and variance are obtained by using MATLAB software. The results of the heat equation are compared with random characteristics of this equation. Firstly, a random component heat equation is solved by this method.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2020
    Investigation of linear difference equations with random effects

    Merdan, Mehmet; Şişman, Şeyma

    In this study, random linear difference equations obtained by transforming the components of deterministic difference equations to random variables are investigated. Uniform, Bernoulli, binomial, negative binomial (or Pascal), geometric, hypergeometric and Poisson distributions have been used for the random effects for obtaining the random behavior of linear difference equations. The random version of the Z-transform, the RZ-transform, has been used to obtain an approximation for the random linear difference equation. Approximate expected values and variances are calculated by using the RZ-transform. The results have been obtained with Maple and are shown in graphs. It is shown that the random Z-transform is an effective tool for the investigation of random linear difference equations.

  • MakaleYalnız künye2020
    ANALYSIS OF RANDOM DISCRETE TIME LOGISTIC MODEL

    Merdan, Mehmet; Şişman, Şeyma

    In this study, the behavior of the logistic difference model is investigated under random conditions using discrete probability distributions. The logistic difference model consists of parameters that depend on the population models to be used. For the study of random difference equation population models, the parameters are treated as random variables which constitutes the basis of the study. Random models were created using Uniform, Bernouilli, Binom, Negative Binomial (or Pascal), Geometric, Hypergeometric, Poisson distributions and their numerical characteristics are obtained through their simulations. Then, the results showing random numerical characteristics such as expected value, variance, standard deviation, coefficient of variation and confidence intervals were obtained with MATLAB package program. Analysis of random logistic difference model is given with the help of graphics and tables.

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2020
    Solving for the random component time-fractional partial differential equations with the new Sumudu transform iterative method

    Anaç, Halil; Merdan, Mehmet; Kesemen, Tülay

    The new Sumudu transform iterative method is implemented to get the approximate solutions of random component time-fractional partial differential equations with Caputo derivative. The parameters and the initial conditions of the random component time-fractional partial differential equations are analyzed with Gamma distribution. The expected values and variances of these solutions are calculated, and the graphs of the expected values and variances are plotted in Maple software. The results for the random component time-fractional partial differential equations with Gamma distribution are examined to investigate effects of this distribution on results. The numerical experiments indicate that this method is very effective.

  • MakaleYalnız künye2020
    A simplified neutrosophic multiplicative set-based TODIM using water-filling algorithm for the determination of weights

    Köseoğlu, Ali; Şahin, Rıdvan; Merdan, Mehmet

    Due to the technological developments around the world, the amount of information that researchers work on increases continuously. This information density contains incomplete and uncertain data that cannot be fully expressed with crisp numbers. Fuzzy sets, intuitionistic fuzzy sets, and neutrosophic sets are useful tools to manage such information, but these concepts use a symmetrical and uniform scale to express data, whereas real-life problems contain nonsymmetrical and non-uniform information. Intuitionistic multiplicative sets (IMSs) are effective tools for dealing with these real-life problems. However, IMSs cannot handle real-life problems completely because indeterminate information depends on membership and non-membership information of IMSs, which is a restriction for decision makers and also for decision problems. To overcome this limitation, this paper generalizes the IMSs by using simplified neutrosophic set and introduces a novel approach that is called simplified neutrosophic multiplicative sets (SNMSs). Firstly, we define SNMS, show their set-based operations, and then give a description of simplified neutrosophic multiplicative numbers (SNMNs). Based on SNMNs, we develop two simplified neutrosophic multiplicative aggregation operators on SNMNs that are called simplified neutrosophic multiplicative weighted arithmetic average operator and simplified neutrosophic multiplicative weighted geometric average operator. Furthermore, we define some simplified neutrosophic multiplicative distance measures. Finally, using a model based on water-filling algorithm for determining criteria weights, we give a numerical example to demonstrate the effectiveness of the introduced concept with the proposed simplified neutrosophic multiplicative simplified neutrosophic multiplicative-TODIM method.