The role of gender in the government expenditure and unemployment nexus: An investigation at regional level for Turkey

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Özet

We aim to explore the role of gender in the government expenditure and unemployment nexus at regional level for Turkey. For this aim, we use the dataset covering the period 2004-2019 for 26 NUTS-2 regions in Turkey and employ a panel ARDL approach. The obtained empirical findings show that government expenditure and gross domestic product per capita provide overall, female, and male unemployment rates to diminish in the long term, which means the Keynesian approach is valid on the long term. Nevertheless, on the short term, government expenditure induces rises in the male and female unemployment rates. This result indicates the validation of the Abrams Curve Hypotesis in male and female unemployment rates on the short term. Also, inflation rate increases overall and male unemployment rate on the long term, but having significant and positive impact on only female unemployment rate on the short term. All these findings show that gender has a significant role in this nexus. The expected contribution of this study to literature is to investigate the impact of government expenditure on unemployment by gender at regional level for Turkey. We are of opinion that our empirical findings can guide policy makers in active plans fighting unemployment.

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dc.contributor.authorÇelik, Orkun
dc.contributor.authorErer, Elif
dc.date.accessioned2026-10-22T10:20:50.827436065Z
dc.date.available2026-10-22T10:20:50.827436065Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractWe aim to explore the role of gender in the government expenditure and unemployment nexus at regional level for Turkey. For this aim, we use the dataset covering the period 2004-2019 for 26 NUTS-2 regions in Turkey and employ a panel ARDL approach. The obtained empirical findings show that government expenditure and gross domestic product per capita provide overall, female, and male unemployment rates to diminish in the long term, which means the Keynesian approach is valid on the long term. Nevertheless, on the short term, government expenditure induces rises in the male and female unemployment rates. This result indicates the validation of the Abrams Curve Hypotesis in male and female unemployment rates on the short term. Also, inflation rate increases overall and male unemployment rate on the long term, but having significant and positive impact on only female unemployment rate on the short term. All these findings show that gender has a significant role in this nexus. The expected contribution of this study to literature is to investigate the impact of government expenditure on unemployment by gender at regional level for Turkey. We are of opinion that our empirical findings can guide policy makers in active plans fighting unemployment.
dc.identifier.endpage128
dc.identifier.issn1582-6163
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85115373618
dc.identifier.startpage112
dc.identifier.urihttps://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/gumushane/13026
dc.identifier.volume24
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherInstitute for Economic Forecasting
dc.relation.ispartofRomanian Journal of Economic Forecasting
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectAbrams Curve
dc.subjectGender
dc.subjectGender discrepancy
dc.subjectGovernment expenditure
dc.subjectLabour market
dc.subjectRegional
dc.subjectUnemployment
dc.titleThe role of gender in the government expenditure and unemployment nexus: An investigation at regional level for Turkey
dc.typeArticle
rdl.citation.scopus0
rdl.oa.statusclosed
rdl.scopus.quartileQ3
rdl.source.indexSCOPUS