Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
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Yayınlar
- MakaleYalnız künye2012The total electricity energy production of the world, European Union, and Turkey: Projections and comparison
Akpinar, A.; Tavşan, F.; Kömürcü, Murat Ihsan; Filiz, M.H.; Kaygusuz, K.
This study aims to forecast the world's, European Union's (EU), and Turkey's electricity energy generation until 2030. For this purpose, the electricity energy sector of the world, EU, and Turkey was overviewed from past to present. The total electricity energy generation for the world, EU, and Turkey were then modelled by using historical energy generation data as years with regression analysis. Data from 1970 to 2004 for Turkey and data from 1980 to 2004 for the world and EU were used for the projections. Electricity energy productions have been forecasted up to year 2030. According to the results, it is determined that cubic (R2 = 0.997) and linear (R2 = 0.993) models for projection of the world's and EU's electricity energy generation, respectively, is fitness while the quadratic (R2 = 0.996) model fits for the projection of Turkey's total electricity energy generation and Turkey will have 0.995% of the world's electricity energy generation in 2030, while the EU will have 8.41% within the world's electricity energy generation in 2030 if the current trend continues.
- MakaleYalnız künye2011Total electricity and hydroelectric energy generation in Turkey: Projection and comparison
Akpinar, A.; Kömürcu, M.I.; Özölçer, I.H.; Şenol, A.
The main goal of this study is to forecast total electricity and hydroelectricity energy generation using historical electricity energy production data in order to determine the future level of electricity and hydroelectricity energy generation in Turkey. For this purpose, Turkey's electricity energy sector was reviewed during the period of 1940-2005. The total electricity and hydroelectricity energy generation were then modelled using historical energy generation data as years with regression analysis. Additionally, the portion that hydroelectric energy generation of Turkey has within total electricity energy production and probable meeting capacity of Turkey's hydroelectric potential of its future total demand was determined. According to the results, it is deduced that hydropower energy will have portion of 13.6% within the total electricity energy generation in 2030. In addition, it is concluded that the whole of Turkey's technical and economical hydroelectric energy potential that is equal 129.9 billion kWh will be used in the year of 2102 if the current trend continues.