Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Yayınlar
- MakaleYalnız künye2026Beyond reactive displacement: anticipatory mobility, climate governance, and the climate passport
Limon, Onur; Gürdal Limon, Elif
This article examines how existing mobility governance frameworks can be re-theorized to better align with the temporal dynamics of climate risk and the conditions shaping mobility decision-making. The analysis demonstrates that current mobility regimes systematically privilege discretionary, event-based protection while offering limited legal predictability or rights-based recognition for anticipatory and incremental mobility. Building on this analysis, the article develops the Climate Passport as a diagnostic framework rather than an operational policy instrument. The framework specifies three governance criteria that any adequate anticipatory mobility regime would need to satisfy: early recognition of climate risk before displacement becomes unavoidable, rights-based and legally predictable status for those facing slow-onset environmental harm, and institutional coherence across the currently fragmented domains of migration, refugee protection, and climate adaptation governance. Informed by the historical Nansen Passport and grounded in human rights and climate justice scholarship, the framework offers a systematic lens for examining how institutional architectures structure the timing, legitimacy, and accessibility of mobility under climate change. By reframing climate-related mobility as a structurally embedded component of adaptation rather than an exceptional failure of in situ resilience, the article contributes to interdisciplinary debates on migration, adaptation, and global justice.
- MakaleYalnız künye2026Arctic governance through discourse: Arctic and Arctic council observer states
Limon, Onur; Gürdal Limon, Elif
This article examines how Arctic governance is discursively constituted through national Arctic policy and strategy documents and how these discursive constructions differentiate governance roles between Arctic states and Arctic Council observer states. Rather than treating national strategies as neutral policy instruments, the study conceptualizes them as political texts that articulate authority, responsibility, and legitimacy within an asymmetrical governance system. Methodologically, the article employs qualitative discourse analysis of the most recent official Arctic strategies of eight Arctic states and twelve observer states. Using MAXQDA (version 24), the analysis is organized around six thematic domains: security policy; climate change and environment; international cooperation; resource management; Indigenous peoples and rights; and economic development and sustainability. The findings reveal a high degree of discursive convergence across both actor groups, particularly around climate change, sustainability, environmental protection, and cooperation. However, this convergence does not indicate substantive policy alignment or egalitarian governance. Arctic states frame governance through narratives of sovereignty, stewardship, and regulatory responsibility, while observer states construct legitimacy through scientific contribution, multilateralism, and normative alignment. The article argues that discursive convergence can function as a kind of governance infrastructure that enables participation while tending to stabilize asymmetrical authority.
- MakaleAçık Erişim2024The impact of the Ukraine war on Russian military capabilities in the Arctic
Limon, Onur; Gürdal Limon, Elif
This study examines the impact of the two-year occupation of Ukraine on Russia’s military capabilities in the Arctic and analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of Russia’s military capacity in this region. Using a methodology based on document analysis and SWOT analysis, the study aims to unravel the intricate interplay between the Ukraine conflict and Russia’s military aspirations in the Arctic and thereby improve our understanding of the military implications of these developments. The results of the study highlight a remarkable imbalance in Russia’s military capabilities in the vast Arctic region, which stretches across the western, central, and eastern sectors. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is acting as a catalyst, forcing Russia to strengthen its conventional forces and improve its military readiness in the immediate future. As a result, there is a discernible inclination to prioritize nuclear capabilities as part of Russia’s strategic calculus in the Arctic region.