Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

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• MakaleYalnız künye2026/r/gumushane/12304
  How does social expenditure affect the fiscal balance in European Union countries?

  Sentürk, Suat Hayri; Karakurt, Birol; Keyifli Sentürk, Nazli

  This study examines the relationship between social expenditures and fiscal balance in 27 European Union member states over the period 2000–2022. Using a panel data framework, the analysis focuses on four disaggregated categories of social expenditure: health, education, pensions, and social protection. The study employs the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test to identify the direction of causality and applies Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimations to address potential endogeneity issues. The results reveal a unidirectional causal relationship running from fiscal balance to social expenditure categories. In addition, the findings indicate that fiscal balance exerts a significant constraining effect on all dimensions of social spending: improvements in fiscal balance (i.e. reduced deficits) are associated with decreases in social expenditures. Demographic factors also play an important role. Population ageing increases spending on pensions, health, and social protection, while a larger young population is associated with higher education expenditures. Institutional quality-measured by the rule of law-and national income positively influence social spending, whereas domestic savings and inflation have negative effects. Unemployment reduces spending on health and education but increases expenditures on social protection. Overall, the results highlight a fundamental policy dilemma: fiscal consolidation pressures may conflict with the need for social protection, particularly in the context of ageing European populations. By providing the first comprehensive analysis of how fiscal balance simultaneously affects multiple dimensions of social expenditure in EU countries, this study offers important insights for policymakers seeking to reconcile fiscal sustainability with inclusive social policy frameworks. The findings suggest that fiscal rules should be designed to safeguard essential social investments while maintaining budgetary discipline.

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• MakaleYalnız künye2026/r/gumushane/12224
  Digital cultivation of violence: a mixed-methods analysis of content and sentiment in YouTube comments on popular Turkish TV series

  Olgun, Oğuzhan; Demirel, Çağatay; Demirel, Uğur

  This study examines the contemporary manifestations of George Gerbner’s Cultivation Theory within the Turkish media landscape by analyzing the relationship between televised representations of violence and digital audience reception. Adopting a mixed-methods research design, the study first conducts a structured qualitative content analysis of 15 selected episodes from three popular Turkish TV series (Camdaki Kız, Sadakatsiz, and Son Yaz) to categorize and quantify various forms of violence. Subsequently, a large-scale computational emotion analysis is performed on 74,478 YouTube comments associated with these episodes using two transformer-based Turkish language models (KUBI and TREMO). The content analysis findings reveal a high prevalence of emotional and psychological violence (61.3%) across all series, followed by physical violence (29.9%), suggesting that mediated harm is increasingly represented through relational and verbal conflict. The computational analysis suggests that these narrative patterns are associated with a high-arousal and largely negative emotional environment in audience discourse, especially around anger and sadness. Notably, while traditional cultivation research emphasizes fear as a primary outcome (Mean World Syndrome), this study finds that digital reception is characterized more by outward-facing anger and moral disgust than by internalized apprehension. The results are consistent with the interpretation that the “seeds” of television cultivation continue to circulate within networked media ecologies, where televised conflict is publicly interpreted and emotionally negotiated through collective digital interaction. By bridging the gap between screen reality and platformed discourse, the research provides a comprehensive framework for understanding the long-term affective impact of Turkish television narratives in the digital age.

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• MakaleAçık Erişim2023/r/gumushane/11461
  Experimenting and thematically analyzing the project study to increase effectiveness of the case of the formation of seasons

  Semercioğlu, Melike Güzin; Kalkan, Hüseyin

  Teacher education is a critical component of the educational system, as it provides the skills and knowledge necessary for effective instruction in science and other related subjects. The purpose of this research is to enhance the incomplete and incorrect knowledge and skills of science teachers related to the formation of seasons by using a physical model that reveals the “change in the amount of energy per unit surface (CAEUS)”. Twenty-nine teachers from different regions of the country conducted experimental studies with physical models related to the formation of seasons, as part of a 5-day training program that included topics on astronomy. In this study, in which descriptive statistics, inferential statistics, and thematic analysis were used, it was observed that the comprehension of the causes and effects of the change in the amount of energy per unit surface was very successful in the development of mental models for understanding the seasons. Furthermore, the teachers reported that they were able to use the knowledge and skills they gained from the program in their teaching practice. The results obtained were compared with the literature and interpreted accordingly.

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